Like A Bad Smell...

...UncleNutJob just won't go away....
I know it's been awhile, but let me tell you what I'M doing. I'm selling! If you did what I said, you started buying silver @ $18. You continued to buy on the way down until you ran out of money. I am about to begin my exit. with gold @ it's "all-time high" of around $1250/oz and silver about to hit $20/oz, there WILL BE a consolidation, and why not take advantage of it? I am going to sell about a third of my holdings @ $20/oz. If it goes to $21, I'll sell another third. If it hits $22, I'll sell the rest...and be poised for the consolidation. Once the profit-taking (gold up 33% and silver up 40% over last 12 months) happens, I will begin my re-entry @ $18 with about 20% of the $. I will continue buying on the way down in the same 20% increments. I'll be happy with an average of $17/oz. Even though I had an average of just under $16 on my last purchase, I still come out ahead.

As the schmedia continues to proclaim Obama the sure winner of the Democratic nomination, let UncleNutJob point a few things out that are being left mostly unsaid…
1st of all, including Florida and Michigan, Hillary Clinton has the most total popular vote. She has won 19 primaries, while Obama has only won 15. Obama did dominate the caucuses, however, the majority of those states are long-time Republican strongholds which neither he or Hillary will be able to win in the general election. Speaking of the general election, most of us are aware of the stupid Electoral College format. For those who are not, the general election is won by accumulating at least 270 ‘points’. These points are distributed state-by-state based loosely on population in a “winner-take-all” format. As an example, Vermont has 3 compared to 55 for California. The top 7 state totals are as follows: California (55), Texas (34), New York (31), Florida (27), Pennsylvania (21), Illinois (21) and Ohio (20). Of these CRUCIAL states, Hillary has won 6, Obama 1 (Illinois). Current polls show either Hillary or Obama will defeat McCain in Illinois during the general election. In addition, Hillary’s 19 primary victories total 329 Electoral votes while Obama’s 15 equal only 133. If you give him ALL the caucus states (most of which will vote Republican), that total reaches only 202.
Don’t let these numbers mislead you, as some states these Democrats won during the primaries will not vote for either Democrat in November. Current polls show that in a head-to-head match, Hillary has around 210 Electoral votes verses McCain, while Obama holds only 195. The remaining states in each case are either Rebublican or “swing states.” These swing states are currently too close to call for either a donkey or an elephant.


http://www.270towin.com/2008_polls/mccain_clinton/ Strong Dem—101, Leaning Dem—138, Strong Repub– 60, Leaning Repub-108

Swing states—Washington, Nevada, Colorado, Iowa, Missouri, Wisconson, Michigan, Kentucky, W. Virginia, N. Carolina, Delaware, New Jersey, Connecticut, New Hampshire and Hawaii.

http://www.270towin.com/2008_polls/mccain_obama/ Strong Dem—69, Leaning Dem—139, Strong Repub– 60, Leaning Repub-91

Swing states—N. Dakota, Texas, Iowa, Missouri, Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio, Florida, N. Carolina, S. Carolina, New Jersey and Massachusetts.

There are a few states that are referred to as “bell-weather’ states. This means these states are considered to be EXTREMELY accurate gauges determining the outcome of the general election. The top 3 in this category are Ohio, Florida and Kentucky. As an example, since 1912, Ohio has voted for the winner EVERY TIME except one. In addition, NO Democrat has ever won the election without collecting BOTH Ohio and Kentucky. This year, Hillary has won ALL 3 state’s primaries. In the head-to-head verses McCain, polls show Obama losing to McCain in Kentucky, while Ohio and Florida are considered “swing.” In contrast, Hillary would win Ohio and Florida, while Kentucky lies as a “swing state.” Again, the clear advantage is Hillary.

Another key category momentum. While the schmedia continues to bash Clinton for staying in a race she ‘can’t win’, she has taken the last 3 out of 4, 4 out of 6, 5 out of 8 and 7 out of 10. These include such powerhouses as Ohio, Pennsylvania and Texas.

To recap, Hillary has the advantage in popular vote, total primaries, likely electoral college votes and momentum. This has all happened in a race where she had to continually endure the “it’s all over for Clinton” cries from the schmedia. If UncleNutJob can figure this out, wouldn’t you think some of the political ‘lifers’ in the Democratic party might be talking about this as the national convention approaches?

So sorry...

I apologize for my lack of interaction as of late. Since I last left a posting, I played at the Pendleton Spring Poker Round-Up. I entered 2 events, the $500 and $1000 main event No Limit Texas Hold-em tournaments. Each tourney had about 300 entrants including many pros. At one point in the main event, there were at total of 7 WSOP bracelets at my table. I managed to outlast them all, cashing in both events. There was only 1 other person who managed to cash in both of these (2 largest buy-ins). It was a great confidence-builder as I prepare to go to the World Series in June...
Other than that, the only other major event in my life was foolishly participating in "Drunken Tuesday." This involves starting before noon and bouncing all thru town drinking at all the pubs, taverns and lounges in town (some more than once.) Somewhere between 3AM and 6AM Wednesday morning, UncleNutJob managed to fall down and crack his knee-cap. After using a cane for over a week, I am proud to say I am carrying on with an almost imperceptible limp. cheers!!!

Time For More

If you did what I said and got in yesterday, good job. If you also did what I said and only invested half of what you had, even better. Buy more today. Silver is down again and sitting at about 17.25. Increase your position and lower you average purchase price to less than 18.

Nailed It!

Wierd...looks like silver dropped to 18.50. so far, the low i've seen for the day is 18.28. It's time kids! Start your re-entry. Take more at 18 and even more at 17.50. I doubt it gets as low as 17, so get more at 17.25. If it does hit 17, take as much as you can get. That would be a 23% correction in a VERY SHORT time-frame. you won't see more than that in this blow-off. There are simply too many people on the sidelines who have gotten out of the stock market(at least partially) and have been waiting for a dip to buy in. THIS IS THAT DIP!!!

In Case U Didn't Hear Me

It's time to sell!!! Gold is flirting with $1K and silver is at $20. Sell, sell, sell! People r about to take profits which gives u the opportunity to make some yourselves. If you're holding...dump. If not, get ready to buy at $18. Take some at $18.50 and use that as your foundation. If it goes down more, buy more. If it goes up, buy faster, cuz you've seen the bottom. Otherwise, wait til summer...

Woman Stuck to Toilet Seat for 2yrs...

Wednesday, March 12, 2008 10:25:26 PM
By ROXANA HEGEMAN

Authorities are considering charges in the bizarre case of a woman who sat on her boyfriend's toilet for two years -- so long that her body was stuck to the seat by the time the man finally called police.

It appeared the 35-year-old Ness City woman's skin had grown around the seat, said Ness County Sheriff Bryan Whipple. The woman initially refused emergency medical services but was finally convinced by responders and her boyfriend that she needed to be checked out at a hospital.

"We pried the toilet seat off with a pry bar and the seat went with her to the hospital," Whipple said. "The hospital removed it."

read the rest here